Tuesday, August 24, 2010

High voter turnout and shocking results of primary elections - Fox31




Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Primary election day: AK, AZ, FL and VT preview
and link to results

Four more states complete their primaries today and one other, Oklahoma, is conducting primary runoffs. Through my on-the-ground political reporter Karl, we've already taken an in depth look at the House races in Florida and Arizona. (Scroll down for those posts) Now I'd like to look a few of the other races being decided today. Before I get into that, however, here's a handy link you can visit to keep track of the results as they come in tonight:POLITICO 2010 - ELECTION MAP - LIVE PRIMARY RESUTLS. Polls close at 1am in Alaska, 10pm in Arizona, 7pm in Florida (8pm in western panhandle) and 7pm in Vermont - all times are Eastern Daylight Time (EDT).

Alaska Senate: The Tea Party movement has made a bunch of noise here saying GOP incumbent Lisa Murkowski is vulnerable to the primary challenge of Joe Miller. I don't buy it. Look for Murkowski to win by a margin similar to her double-digit leads in the polls. She'll win easily against the Democratic nominee in November, too.

Arizona Senate: John McCain has expended millions from his campaign war chest to ward off a stout primary run by former Congressman J.D. Hayworth. The investment will pay off today for him with a return invitation to the general election.

Arizona Governor:
What a difference an issue makes! Several months ago, Governor Jan Brewer seemed a likely casualty either in the primaries or in November. But Arizona's decision to enforce already-enacted federal immigration laws catapulted her into the national spotlight - and into re-election shoo-in territory. Terry Goddard's no contest path to the Democratic nomination will go for naught as a result.

Florida Senate: What should have been a blowout victory for Republican Marco Rubio over Governor Charlie Crist in the GOP primary has become a meaningless exercise now that Crist is seeking this Senate seat as an independent. Though polls give Crist a lead currently, I believe his star will fade and Rubio will prevail in November. On the Democratic side, Congressman Kendrick Meek and self-funder Jeff Greene are running a very close contest for the Democratic nod - and a measly 15-20% cut of the vote on Election Day.

Florida Governor: This race will feature another three-way general election fight. On the GOP side, polls have been all over the place. Will it be seasoned politico Bill McCollum or mega-millionaire Rick Scott? Depends on whom you ask. My feeling is that Scott's fast rise and lavish spending will come up short, and McCollum will narrowly win. On the Democratic side, Alex Sink appears headed for the nomination without much trouble. Then there's Bud Chiles, son of former Democratic Governor Lawton Chiles. Like Crist, he's running as an independent. Unlike Crist, he won't compete.

Vermont Governor: This open seat race features a bevy of Democrats vying for the chance to pick off what probably should be low-hanging gubernatorial fruit. Though this state does have a history of electing Republicans to its chief executive position, it remains very deeply blue. However, Lt. Governor Brian Dubie is polling ahead of the Democratic pack. That means whoever does win the nomination will have a much tougher time than the fundamentals here suggest.

Election Projection
posted by Scott Elliott at 5:14pm 08/24/10:: link




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